Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.026145 0.028419 0.030799 0.033477 0.036407 0.039517 0.043071
2025-07-20 0.022346 0.025612 0.029227 0.033531 0.038527 0.044151 0.050977
2025-07-27 0.019972 0.023808 0.028236 0.033739 0.040414 0.048274 0.058264
2025-08-03 0.018015 0.022164 0.027118 0.033491 0.041506 0.051296 0.064224
2025-08-10 0.016739 0.021162 0.026599 0.033808 0.043164 0.054964 0.071081
2025-08-17 0.015363 0.019888 0.025593 0.033359 0.043721 0.057165 0.076082
2025-08-24 0.014146 0.018705 0.024586 0.032782 0.043997 0.058927 0.080515
2025-08-31 0.013196 0.017794 0.023852 0.032482 0.044569 0.061051 0.085497
2025-09-07 0.012380 0.017000 0.023206 0.032231 0.045149 0.063166 0.090537
2025-09-14 0.011686 0.016321 0.022665 0.032070 0.045811 0.065388 0.095815
2025-09-21 0.010990 0.015595 0.022005 0.031680 0.046092 0.067041 0.100308
2025-09-28 0.010531 0.015176 0.021750 0.031850 0.047181 0.069909 0.106772
2025-10-05 0.010013 0.014662 0.021359 0.031839 0.048064 0.072620 0.113348
2025-10-12 0.009558 0.014219 0.021049 0.031935 0.049121 0.075676 0.120711
2025-10-19 0.009169 0.013851 0.020825 0.032139 0.050345 0.079046 0.128792
2025-10-26 0.008704 0.013337 0.020346 0.031904 0.050841 0.081260 0.135079
2025-11-02 0.008404 0.013059 0.020213 0.032205 0.052208 0.084952 0.144094
2025-11-09 0.007961 0.012533 0.019656 0.031779 0.052335 0.086574 0.149606
2025-11-16 0.007526 0.011994 0.019050 0.031232 0.052214 0.087750 0.154380
2025-11-23 0.007178 0.011577 0.018618 0.030947 0.052515 0.089653 0.160565
2025-11-30 0.006862 0.011199 0.018228 0.030709 0.052875 0.091664 0.167062
2025-12-07 0.006584 0.010868 0.017900 0.030556 0.053368 0.093925 0.174159
2025-12-14 0.006284 0.010486 0.017464 0.030186 0.053444 0.095425 0.179883